TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega
Volume:
$343,254
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
DetonatioN FocusMe and VARREL will compete in a best-of-three Valorant match as part of the VCT Pacific Group Omega, originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 6:00 AM EDT. The match outcome will determine the series winner, individual map results, and whether the series extends to a third map. This is a standard competitive esports fixture with binary resolution (one team wins or the match is invalidated).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves YES for both possible outcomes (DetonatioN FocusMe win OR VARREL win), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets have well-defined binary or conditional outcomes with clear resolution paths.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a logical error in its resolution criteria—both teams winning would trigger a YES resolution, making it impossible to determine a false outcome. Polymarket markets are tradeable and have coherent resolution logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Four distinct markets with mutually exclusive or conditional outcomes: (1) Match Winner resolves to either DetonatioN FocusMe or VARREL with 50-50 for cancellation/tie/delay; (2) Map Handicap resolves to DFM if they win 2+ more maps, else VARREL; (3) Map 1 Winner resolves to either team or 50-50 if not completed; (4) Map 2 Winner resolves to either team or 50-50 if not completed; (5) Games Total O/U 2.5 resolves Over if 3+ maps played, else Under. All use vlr.gg as primary source with credible reporting fallback within 2 hours.
- Kalshi: Single market states: 'If DetonatioN FocusMe wins... then resolves to Yes. If VARREL wins... then resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility—the market resolves YES regardless of which team wins, leaving no path to a NO resolution. No cancellation, tie, or delay clauses are specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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