TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a best-of-three Valorant match between ALT F4 and Melser Kindergarten in the VCL Latin America South Group Stage, scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets span match outcome, total maps played, individual map winners, and map handicap betting across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides comprehensive edge-case resolution rules (cancellations, forfeits, delays, incomplete matches) while Kalshi offers only binary win-condition logic without contingency guidance. Both platforms agree on primary resolution source (vlr.gg) and basic match outcome determination, but diverge significantly on how to handle disruptions.Hero Tip:
For Polymarket markets, edge cases are explicitly resolved to 50-50 (cancellations, delays >7 days, forfeits, walkovers, incomplete matches). For Kalshi, the resolution path in these scenarios is undefined. Traders should assume Kalshi may require manual adjudication or clarification from Kalshi support if the match does not complete normally. Prioritize Polymarket's explicit rules as the safer reference framework.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Comprehensive resolution framework with explicit 50-50 outcomes for cancellations, ties, delays beyond 7 days, incomplete matches, and forfeits/walkovers. Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover count toward totals if match is completed. Key Quote: 'If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.'Kalshi:
Minimal binary resolution logic: markets resolve to Yes if either team wins. No explicit guidance on cancellations, delays, incomplete matches, or forfeits. Key Quote: 'If Melser Kindergarten wins the VCL Latin America South 2026... match... then the market resolves to Yes.' Contingency resolution undefined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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