TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a best-of-three Valorant match between Alliance Guardians and QoR in VCL North America Stage 2 Group Stage, scheduled for April 13, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT. Markets span match winner, games total, map handicap, and individual map outcomes across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Match winner resolution diverges on forfeit/walkover treatment. Kalshi's binary Yes/No structure does not explicitly address pre-match forfeits, while Polymarket resolves them to 50-50. Games Total and Map Handicap markets on Polymarket count forfeited maps toward totals; Kalshi provides no guidance.Hero Tip:
Assume Polymarket's stricter rules: pre-match forfeits resolve 50-50 on match winner; forfeited maps count toward Games Total and Map Handicap only if the match is completed. Monitor vlr.gg for official results within 2 hours of match conclusion on both platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Binary Yes/No structure: resolves Yes if either team wins. No explicit handling of forfeits, walkovers, or incomplete matches. Relies on implicit assumption that a winner will be determined.Polymarket:
Explicit multi-outcome logic: Match winner resolves to team name if they win; 50-50 if pre-match forfeit/walkover/cancellation/tie/7-day delay. Games Total and Map Handicap count forfeited maps only if match is completed; incomplete matches with forfeit resolve 50-50. Map-specific markets resolve 50-50 if map not completed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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