TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.4b

24H VOL:

$230,557,910

24H TRANSACTIONS:

531,611,392

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,202,344,730

501,342

Markets across

13,602

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,822

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

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kalshi
polymarket
Trending

Valorant: AKA HERO vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage

Volume:
$9,411
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This market refers to the Valorant match between AKA HERO and Eintracht Frankfurt in the VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 26 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "AKA HERO" if AKA HERO win the match against Eintracht Frankfurt. This market will resolve to "Eintracht Frankfurt" if Eintracht Frankfurt win the match against AKA HERO. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi's match-level market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (AKA HERO wins OR Eintracht Frankfurt wins) resolve to identical "Yes" result, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket provides coherent granular markets with distinct outcomes and explicit tie-breaking rules.

Hero Tip:

Do not trade Kalshi's match-level market; it is logically broken. Use Polymarket's five distinct markets (Match Winner, Map 1, Map 2, Games Total O/U 2.5, Handicap) as the authoritative settlement framework. Cross-reference all results against vlr.gg within 2 hours of match end. Escalate any Kalshi settlement to manual review.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Kalshi: Match-level market with binary Yes/No structure, but resolution logic states both AKA HERO victory and Eintracht Frankfurt victory resolve to Yes. No explicit tie-breaking, cancellation, or forfeit rules provided. Scheduled April 26, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT.
  • Polymarket: Five distinct markets: (1) Match Winner with team-specific outcomes; (2) Map 1 Winner; (3) Map 2 Winner; (4) Games Total O/U 2.5; (5) Map Handicap SGE (-1.5) vs AKA HERO (+1.5). All include explicit 50-50 tie-breaking for cancellations, delays >7 days, incomplete matches, forfeits, and disqualifications. Primary source vlr.gg with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting. Scheduled April 26 at 11:00 AM ET.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.