TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Valorant: 100 Thieves vs MIBR LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
polymarket
kalshi
limitless

Who will win 100 Thieves vs MIBR LOS?

Volume:
$1,278,705

Match Winner

 - Polymarket

Match Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 10, 2026

Closed: Jul 10, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$449,868
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

100 Thieves

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$280,879
N/A
N/A
$179,245
Settled
Yes
limitless

100 Thieves

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99.8¢
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$49,410
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,575
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
7¢
N/A
$469
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
15¢
N/A
$203
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs MIBR LOS (+2.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$112
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs MIBR LOS (+4.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$112
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs MIBR LOS (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs MIBR LOS (+5.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs MIBR LOS (+2.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs MIBR LOS (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs MIBR LOS (+5.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs MIBR LOS (+4.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

MIBR LOS

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$349,806
N/A
N/A
$254,704
Settled
No
limitless

MIBR LOS

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.8¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$143,821
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,168
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$362
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: MIBR LOS (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$243
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$236
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 56

Intro

This market tracks the round differential in Map 3 of a Valorant best-of-three match between 100 Thieves and MIBR LOS during the Esports World Cup Playoffs. Across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless, the consensus probability for 100 Thieves to win Map 3 by more than 2.5 rounds stands at 100.0%, aggregated from vlr.gg as the resolution source. The match is scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 9:45 AM EDT, and the actual map outcome on that date will determine settlement.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market logic is a logical tautology that resolves to Yes regardless of the July 10 match outcome, because it ties resolution to tournament-level results (whether either team wins the Esports World Cup 2026) rather than the specific match result. Polymarket and Limitless correctly tie resolution to the actual match outcome on July 10.Hero tip: Kalshi's market is fundamentally broken and should not be traded. Polymarket and Limitless markets are aligned and resolvable. Use vlr.gg as the primary source, with credible reporting (video evidence, consensus) as fallback if vlr.gg does not publish within 2 hours of match conclusion.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market resolves to Yes if MIBR LOS wins the Esports World Cup 2026 OR if 100 Thieves wins the Esports World Cup 2026. This is a tautology—one team must win the tournament. The July 10 match is mentioned only as a scheduling reference. The market is unresolvable as written because it does not actually depend on the match outcome.
  • Polymarket: All markets (match winner, map winners, round totals, handicaps) resolve based on the actual outcome of the July 10 match between 100 Thieves and MIBR LOS. Resolution source is vlr.gg with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting and video evidence. Matches are resolvable if played to completion or if one team forfeits/is disqualified.
  • Limitless: Match winner market resolves Yes if the named team wins the July 10 match. Forfeits, disqualifications, and walkovers resolve to the declared winner. If no official result by August 10, 2026 23:59 UTC, market resolves to Other. Aligned with Polymarket's match-outcome logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Valorant Quarterfinal 4 match between 100 Thieves and MIBR LOS in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 10 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win the match against MIBR LOS. This market will resolve to "MIBR LOS" if MIBR LOS win the match against 100 Thieves. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the outcome of the MIBR LOS vs. 100 Thieves Valorant match at the Esports World Cup 2026 scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 9:45 AM EDT. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins the match.

Limitless

This market refers to the match between 100 Thieves and MIBR LOS in the Esports World Cup 2026, scheduled for Jul 10, 2026. This market resolves to "YES" if the team named in the title wins in the specified match. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "NO." If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made. If the match is not completed with an official result by August 10, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to "Other."

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on peer-to-peer pricing rather than sportsbook margins. Traders directly set odds by buying and selling shares, which often reflects sharper, less-biased estimates than traditional sportsbooks. However, prediction markets may have lower liquidity and wider spreads, especially for niche esports matchups. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal inefficiencies, though always verify current lines before trading.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics and liquidity pools, leading to natural price variation. Polymarket and Kalshi may also list slightly different outcome structures—for instance, one platform might focus on match winner while another emphasizes map-level props. Regulatory differences, fee structures, and user interface design also influence how traders price risk, creating arbitrage opportunities for sharp bettors monitoring both venues.

Key catalysts include roster announcements, player injuries, recent tournament results, and head-to-head performance trends. Scrim results and team practice footage shared on social media often influence trader sentiment. Major patch updates to Valorant itself can shift meta dynamics and team preparation strategies. Live match momentum—early map wins or player standout performances—will drive sharp repricing as the event unfolds, especially in the final hours before kickoff.