TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 5:20 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Valletta FC and RKS Raków Częstochowa, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Valletta FC vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa match originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Valletta FC and RKS Raków Częstochowa, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Valletta FC vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa match originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders who have real money at stake. For this market, prediction market participants may price exact scorelines differently than bookmakers, especially for less common outcomes. Comparing the two can reveal where traders see value that bookmakers may have overlooked, though both should be viewed as estimates rather than certainties.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader activity into real-time probabilities for each exact score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing different final scorelines, and the price of each share reflects the collective assessment of that outcome's likelihood. As more traders back a particular scoreline, its price rises; conversely, reduced demand lowers it. This continuous price discovery mechanism means odds adjust fluidly throughout the trading period.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, once the match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regulation time. Whichever exact score prediction matches the official final result will be deemed correct, and all shares representing that outcome will be paid out at full value. Traders holding shares in any other scoreline will receive nothing.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can significantly shift odds for specific scorelines, particularly if key players are unavailable. Recent form, head-to-head history, and tactical adjustments announced before kickoff often trigger repricing. Weather conditions and venue factors may also influence scoring expectations. As match day draws closer, late-breaking developments such as unexpected absences or managerial statements can cause sharp moves. During the match itself, early goals or red cards will dramatically reshape probabilities for remaining possible outcomes.