TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$85,014,378
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,695,592
394,774
Markets across
30,069
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,615
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 3:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two soccer teams in an upcoming match, focusing on the margin of victory. It examines different thresholds for how many goals one team might win by over the other. The outcome depends entirely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates various goal-differential scenarios in a professional La Liga soccer match between Vallecano and Santander scheduled for September 5, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are considered, each tied to specific winning margins: Vallecano winning by more than 2.5 goals, Vallecano winning by more than 1.5 goals, Santander winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Santander winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. The event explicitly states that the platform operating these markets—Kalshi—holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect the collective intelligence of traders, who can react faster to new information. While sportsbooks set fixed lines, this market price can shift continuously based on trading volume and recent team performance, sometimes showing sharper adjustments ahead of key moments.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match result and point differential, which is checked against reliable sports data sources after the game concludes.