TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 3:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Vallecano will win their professional La Liga soccer game against Santander. Currently, Kalshi gives Vallecano a 79.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 20.0%. The market resolves based on the result of the game originally scheduled for September 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by the official game results. Keep a close watch on the kickoff of the match on September 5, 2026, as that will begin the window for determining the outcome and eventual resolution of this market.
The event resolves based on the result of the Vallecano vs Santander professional La Liga soccer match originally scheduled for September 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the match within regular time. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, traders in the Vallecano vs Santander match-up market set odds through continuous trading, which often differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment and can adjust more rapidly to new information, such as player injuries or weather conditions. Sportsbook odds, set by professional oddsmakers, may incorporate broader market data and risk management strategies. The difference can create unique opportunities for bettors who monitor both markets closely. This market's liquidity and trader participation influence how closely its implied probabilities align with sportsbook favorites and underdogs.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match result, which is then matched against the market’s defined outcomes. Traders should monitor reputable sports news sources for confirmed final scores and any relevant post-match developments.
Injuries to key players, weather forecasts affecting match conditions, and shifting coaching strategies could all impact this market. Additionally, early betting trends on Kalshi and any notable analyst predictions may cause price swings. As the match approaches, any last-minute lineup changes or tactical announcements are likely to generate the most significant movement in odds.