TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Valencia vs. Joventut
kalshi
polymarket

Valencia vs. Joventut

Volume:
$345,733

Valencia Basket

 - Kalshi

Valencia Basket - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 10, 4:10 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Valencia Basket

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$153,431
N/A
N/A
$63,806
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Valencia vs. Joventut

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13,907
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Club Joventut Badalona

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$176,338
N/A
N/A
$74,415
Settled
No
polymarket

Valencia (-12.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,043
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 170.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers a Liga ACB (Spanish professional basketball) matchup between Valencia Basket and Club Joventut Badalona. Two prediction markets on different platforms are tracking the same game with conflicting scheduled dates and divergent resolution logic for outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Joventut win OR Valencia win) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Additionally, the two platforms list conflicting game dates (June 10 vs June 12, 2026).Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi. The market structure is broken: it cannot distinguish between the two teams' outcomes. Use Polymarket only, which has proper binary logic. Confirm the correct game date with ACB.com before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure. Resolves to 'Valencia' if Valencia wins, 'Joventut' if Joventut wins. Scheduled June 12, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) clauses. Source: ACB.com.
  • Kalshi: Both outcomes map to Yes: 'If Joventut wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Valencia wins...resolves to Yes'. Scheduled June 10, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT. No distinction between outcomes; logically incoherent.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Liga Endesa game, scheduled for June 12 at 2:00PM ET: If the Valencia win, the market will resolve to "Valencia". If the Joventut win, the market will resolve to "Joventut". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate independently from traditional sportsbooks, often reflecting different liquidity pools and trader demographics. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized trader beliefs. For Valencia vs. Joventut, prediction market odds may diverge from sportsbook lines because traders price in longer-term information, have different risk appetites, or respond faster to breaking news. Comparing the two can reveal arbitrage opportunities or signal where professional and retail consensus differ on this matchup's likely outcome.

Key catalysts for Valencia vs. Joventut include player injuries or roster changes, recent team form and head-to-head records, home-court advantage dynamics, and any schedule disruptions. Betting market moves by sharp traders often precede public awareness, so tracking volume spikes on Polymarket and Kalshi can signal emerging information. Team announcements, coaching changes, or unexpected lineup decisions in the days before the match typically drive the largest probability shifts. Monitor sports news and platform activity closely for edge-moving developments.