TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 11:27 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nastasja Schunk and Irene Burillo Escorihuela in the Valencia, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nastasja Schunk' if Nastasja Schunk advances against Irene Burillo Escorihuela. This market will resolve to 'Irene Burillo Escorihuela' if Irene Burillo Escorihuela advances against Nastasja Schunk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nastasja Schunk and Irene Burillo Escorihuela in the Valencia, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nastasja Schunk' if Nastasja Schunk advances against Irene Burillo Escorihuela. This market will resolve to 'Irene Burillo Escorihuela' if Irene Burillo Escorihuela advances against Nastasja Schunk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds reveals how collective intelligence differs from traditional oddsmaking. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance risk and attract betting action. This market, however, is driven by the wisdom of the crowd, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. Often, prediction markets can offer more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available, as traders incorporate new data and insights into their predictions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Schunk vs Burillo match. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price of that contract increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, scaled to a value between 0 and 100. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective wisdom of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the Schunk vs Burillo match as reported by official sources. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on publicly available and verifiable information. Traders holding the winning contract will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. The process is designed to be transparent and objective, ensuring fair settlement for all participants.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Sep 24, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or strategic announcements from either player’s camp could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in related matches or tournaments could also shift expectations. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could impact trading activity. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market and anticipating the final outcome.