TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 12:53 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Francesca Curmi will win against Joelle Steur in their Valencia tennis match, accounting for a 0.5 game spread. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to Francesca Curmi (-0.5) winning against Joelle Steur (+0.5). The resolution source for this market is the official WTA Tennis scores website at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the originally scheduled match time of September 16, 2026 at 7:00AM ET, as that is when the initial signal for resolution will be observed.
This market refers to the tennis match between Joelle Steur and Francesca Curmi in the Valencia, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joelle Steur' if Joelle Steur advances against Francesca Curmi. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Curmi' if Francesca Curmi advances against Joelle Steur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and risk assessment, while this market is driven by individual predictions and information. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing these odds can provide valuable insights into where the crowd believes the true probability lies for the Valencia tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Valencia tennis match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, meaning that if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase. This creates a dynamic pricing system that responds to new information and changing perspectives.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Valencia tennis match between Joelle Steur and Francesca Curmi. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also shift expectations. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could indicate informed opinions and lead to price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring tennis news and trading activity will be key to understanding potential shifts.