TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 3:45 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Lazaro Garcia and Joelle Steur in the Valencia, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Lazaro Garcia' if Andrea Lazaro Garcia advances against Joelle Steur. This market will resolve to 'Joelle Steur' if Joelle Steur advances against Andrea Lazaro Garcia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Lazaro Garcia and Joelle Steur in the Valencia, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Lazaro Garcia' if Andrea Lazaro Garcia advances against Joelle Steur. This market will resolve to 'Joelle Steur' if Joelle Steur advances against Andrea Lazaro Garcia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, being driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to represent the true probability of an outcome, though market sentiment and information imbalances can still cause divergence. It's common to see differences in implied probabilities between this market and sportsbook offerings, especially as new information becomes available or public opinion shifts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price can fluctuate based on news, player form, and overall sentiment, providing a dynamic representation of expectations for the Valencia tennis match.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Valencia tennis match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result declared by tournament organizers. The market will settle to 100% for the winning player and 0% for the losing player, based on the official match results. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout equivalent to their shareholding, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the Valencia match might also influence perceptions of player form. Furthermore, major announcements related to the tournament itself, such as changes in scheduling or venue, could cause fluctuations in the market. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning has the potential to move this market.