TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 9:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Alicia Herrero Linana will win her tennis match against Lucia Cortez Llorca in Valencia. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Valencia: Alicia Herrero Linana vs Lucia Cortez Llorca” and a 99.5% probability to “Valencia: Completed Match: Alicia Herrero Linana vs Lucia Cortez Llorca”. The resolution source for this market is the official WTA Tennis scores website at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the match itself, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET, as the outcome will be determined by whether Alicia Herrero Linana advances against Lucia Cortez Llorca.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alicia Herrero Linana and Lucia Cortez Llorca in the Valencia, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alicia Herrero Linana' if Alicia Herrero Linana advances against Lucia Cortez Llorca. This market will resolve to 'Lucia Cortez Llorca' if Lucia Cortez Llorca advances against Alicia Herrero Linana. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and the expertise of oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players’ form and potential. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbook odds in response to new information or changing sentiment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Valencia tennis match between Alicia Herrero Linana and Lucia Cortez Llorca, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The winner of the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. It's important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and verifiable information to ensure a fair and accurate determination of the result.
Several signals could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players might also impact market sentiment. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, perhaps influenced by expert analysis or social media discussions, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely move this market.