Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms resolve based on the official match outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 25, 2026, with identical three-way outcome logic (V-Varen win, draw, or Gamba win), using J-League official statistics as the primary source.
Primary resolution logic:
Official J-League statistics (jleague.jp) as recognized by the governing body; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, consensus of credible reporting.
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
Three mutually exclusive outcomes: V-Varen wins (Polymarket V-Varen market YES, Gamba market NO, Draw market NO), Draw (Polymarket Draw market YES, V-Varen market NO, Gamba market NO), or Gamba wins (Polymarket Gamba market YES, V-Varen market NO, Draw market NO).
Kalshi markets resolve YES for any of the three outcomes (all three Kalshi markets resolve YES regardless of result, making them non-discriminative).
Exactly one outcome occurs; Polymarket markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, Polymarket markets remain open until completion. Kalshi rules do not explicitly address postponement, implying standard match completion requirement.
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket V-Varen and Gamba markets resolve NO, while the Draw market resolves YES. Kalshi rules do not address cancellation.
Resolution Timing: Polymarket uses official J-League statistics within 2 hours post-match as primary source, with credible reporting consensus as fallback. Kalshi does not specify a source hierarchy or fallback mechanism.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official J-League publication of final match statistics, or within 2 hours after match conclusion via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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