TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 18, 12:04 AM EST
Kalshi
This event measures the goal differential between Uzbekistan and Colombia during the second half of their FIFA World Cup match on June 17, 2026. Bettors predict which team will win the second half by more than 1.5 goals.
This event resolves based on the second-half goal differential in the Uzbekistan vs Colombia FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled for June 17, 2026. Two separate markets track whether Uzbekistan wins the second half by more than 1.5 goals or whether Colombia wins the second half by more than 1.5 goals. Each market resolves to Yes if the specified team achieves a margin of victory exceeding 1.5 goals during the second half period. Only goals scored during the second half count toward the differential calculation. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks from the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with standard procedures.
Prediction market odds reflect real-money positions from traders and often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they incorporate live information and direct financial incentives. While sports analysts may publish pre-match predictions based on team form and statistics, this market aggregates the collective judgment of participants who stand to gain or lose based on accuracy. Comparing the implied probability here to published expert forecasts can reveal where the crowd sees value or where consensus may be overconfident. Both sources offer insight, but they operate on different mechanisms and timelines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers on the spread outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent trade or the tightest spread between pending orders, updating continuously as new trades execute. Your position's value fluctuates with each price movement, and you can exit at any time by matching an existing order or posting your own. This dynamic pricing ensures the market stays responsive to new information about team performance and match conditions.
This market resolves around Jun 18, 2026, once the Uzbekistan vs Colombia match concludes and the second half spread result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the actual point differential recorded during the second half of play. Resolution happens after the final whistle and official scorekeeping is confirmed, ensuring accuracy before payouts are processed. Traders holding positions aligned with the verified result receive their winnings, while opposing positions expire worthless.
Key catalysts include team lineup announcements, injury updates to star players, and recent form heading into the match. Pre-game analysis and expert commentary can shift trader sentiment as new tactical information emerges. During the first half, the actual score and momentum will influence expectations for the second half spread, potentially triggering sharp price moves as traders adjust their positions. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and any late-breaking news about player availability can also trigger volatility in the final hours before kickoff.