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UTSA vs Texas St.: First Team to Score a TD
kalshi

What is the result of UTSA vs Texas St.?

Volume:
$2,437

UTSA scores first TD

 - Kalshi

UTSA scores first TD - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 4:14 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

UTSA scores first TD

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,347
N/A
N/A
$1,287
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Texas St. scores first TD

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$77
N/A
N/A
$43
Settled
No
kalshi

No team scores a TD

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$13
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game between UTSA and Texas State. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no touchdown is scored at all during the game, including any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on the game's live progression and scoring events.

Kalshi

The event determines which team scores the first touchdown in the UTSA vs Texas State college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026, with three possible outcomes. If Texas State scores the first touchdown—whether offensively, defensively, or via special teams, including in overtime—the corresponding market resolves to Yes. The same applies if UTSA scores first. If neither team scores a touchdown at any point in the game, including overtime, the “No team scores a TD” market resolves to Yes. Postponements that commence within 48 hours of the original start time do not affect resolution; the market resolves based on the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. All touchdowns count toward the outcome, regardless of how they are scored.

Frequently asked questions

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and participant motivations. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing risk assessments or the influence of public perception. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, as traders react quickly to developments, whereas sportsbook odds may be slower to adjust. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the event’s potential outcomes.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, UTSA or Texas St. scoring the first touchdown. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to represent a collective prediction. The market’s depth – the volume of contracts available at different price points – indicates the level of confidence traders have in each outcome. Currently, the market reflects a dynamic assessment of each team’s chances.

This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first touchdown in the UTSA versus Texas St. game. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data, ensuring an objective determination of the winner. Any disputes regarding the outcome will be assessed against publicly available game records to ensure accuracy and fairness. The final result will be clearly indicated on Kalshi once verified.

Several factors could influence the price movement of this market leading up to the game. News regarding key player injuries for either UTSA or Texas St. would likely have a significant impact, shifting probabilities based on their importance to the offense. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the game plan and scoring potential, causing traders to reassess their positions. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or changes in team dynamics could also introduce volatility. Even public sentiment and betting trends observed elsewhere could contribute to shifts in this market.