TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 9:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second quarter of a college football game between UTSA and Texas. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of points by which either team must win that quarter to resolve positively.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential in the second quarter of the designated UTSA vs Texas college football game. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team's second-quarter winning margin exceeds the stated threshold. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original schedule, markets remain active and resolve per the actual result. Should the game fail to start within this window, all markets settle at a fair price, reflecting uncertainty rather than a definitive win condition. The scoring from other quarters is irrelevant to these resolutions.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. If a substantial difference exists, it might indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has a more informed or active trading base. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the UTSA vs Texas 2nd quarter spread. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a real-time assessment of the likely outcome. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract tied to a specific spread.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the second quarter of the UTSA vs Texas game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a spread closer to the actual result will have a higher payout value. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and verified against credible public sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome for all traders in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the UTSA or Texas teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game, could also shift the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could affect trader sentiment. Even public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.