TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 11:16 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the point differential in the fourth quarter of a college football game between UTEP and Oklahoma. Outcomes depend on which team secures a lead by specific margins during the final quarter of play.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the fourth quarter (excluding overtime) of the UTEP vs Oklahoma college football game scheduled for September 4, 2026. If Oklahoma wins the fourth quarter by more than the specified margin—ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points—the corresponding 'Yes' outcome is triggered. Conversely, if UTEP wins the fourth quarter by more than the specified margin—also ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points—the respective 'Yes' outcome for UTEP is triggered. Only points scored during the fourth quarter count toward these resolutions. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names referenced belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the diverse perspectives of traders. Sportsbooks set their initial lines based on their own analysis, but this market allows for continuous adjustment as new information and opinions emerge. It’s common to see this market converge with sportsbook odds as the event approaches, or to diverge if traders believe the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. Comparing the two can offer a broader understanding of potential event results.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their contracts are settled in their favor. This dynamic process aims to establish a fair and efficient price for the UTEP vs Oklahoma spread.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the fourth quarter is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result announced by the governing body of the game. The final spread will be compared to the contracts traded on Kalshi to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the UTEP or Oklahoma teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also impact trading activity. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift the market's assessment of the likely point spread. Public sentiment and large bets from informed traders can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.