TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 10:32 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate how many points will be scored by both teams combined during the third quarter of a college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to settle the outcome.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the third quarter of the UTEP vs Oklahoma college football game scheduled for September 4, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the combined third-quarter points exceed the specified threshold for each market (ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points). If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored during the third quarter count, and Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities as the event approaches, especially when compared to initial public opinion or analyst projections.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the 3rd quarter will be over or under a specific number. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring; a higher price indicates a greater perceived likelihood. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the true probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 3rd quarter of the UTEP vs Oklahoma game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, and the market will settle to 100 if the total points scored in the 3rd quarter meet the market condition, or 0 if they do not. The final score will be sourced from official sports data providers to ensure accuracy and transparency for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the UTEP or Oklahoma teams would likely cause movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to significantly impact scoring, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, live game events during the first half, such as dominant offensive or defensive performances, might lead to adjustments in the perceived probability of the 3rd quarter total. Public betting trends and expert analysis could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.