TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 10:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the third quarter of a college football game between UTEP and Oklahoma. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of points by which either team must win that quarter to settle the outcome.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the third quarter of the UTEP vs Oklahoma college football game scheduled for September 4, 2026. For any market where the specified team wins the third quarter by more than the stated point margin, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these outcomes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds defined in each market.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market represents the collective prediction of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer insights into public perception versus professional analysis, but remember that neither guarantees accuracy. This market provides a unique perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 3rd quarter spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates the market's expectation for the final spread, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the result.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final 3rd quarter spread of the UTEP vs Oklahoma game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Specifically, the market will resolve based on the official result reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the UTEP or Oklahoma teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's style of play, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any updates on team strategies or starting lineups, as well as public sentiment shifts, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders react to new information.