TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 7:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second half of a college football game between UTEP and Michigan. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold that Michigan or UTEP must exceed in the second half to settle the outcome.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the designated college football game. If Michigan wins the second half by more than the specified margin, the corresponding 'Michigan wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes; if UTEP wins by more than the specified margin, the corresponding 'UTEP wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Markets remain open if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time; any game not started within this window resolves to a fair price. No markets consider first-half performance or total game outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own independent beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders could potentially profit by buying on Kalshi and selling on a sportsbook (or vice versa). However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the second half of the UTEP vs Michigan game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a spread that matches the actual result will settle at 100, while those predicting a different spread will settle at 0. The official result will be sourced from established sports data providers to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the UTEP or Michigan teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the game's style of play, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, public perception and any late-breaking analysis from sports commentators could sway trader sentiment and cause the market to move. Unexpected line movements in traditional sportsbooks could also prompt adjustments in this market.