TOTAL VOLUME:
$143b
24H VOL:
$111,424,783
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,661,467,257
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,630,632,565
494,234
Markets across
37,330
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,871
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Memphis wins by over 17.5 points
- Kalshi
Memphis wins by over 17.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 22, 2026
Time left: 05d:05h:19m
$
This event tracks various point-spread outcomes for an upcoming basketball game between Utah and Memphis. Each outcome represents a different margin by which either team could win, allowing participants to bet on the exact competitiveness of the match.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Utah vs Memphis Pro Basketball game scheduled for Oct 21, 2026. If Memphis wins by a margin exceeding the specified threshold in any "Memphis wins by over X points" market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Conversely, if Utah wins by a margin exceeding the threshold in any "Utah wins by over X points" market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. For games postponed but starting within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve per the actual result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. This often leads to prediction markets incorporating information more quickly and accurately than sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are readily accessible and provide a useful benchmark for comparison, as they represent a widely available public opinion on the likely outcome of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Utah vs Memphis game. The price of each contract reflects the probability that the actual spread will fall on that side. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the likely outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price discovery process is entirely driven by supply and demand among traders on Kalshi, and the current price represents the market's best estimate of the game's spread.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Utah vs Memphis game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by a trusted sports data source. The market will determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual spread falls on the 'Utah favored' or 'Memphis favored' side, or if the game results in a push. All outstanding contracts will be settled at that time, reflecting the final game outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 22, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected news about team morale or internal conflicts could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi can create short-term price fluctuations, and shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in other sources like sports news and analysis, can also drive movement in this market.