TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 4:18 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance gap between Utah and Iowa State in the first quarter of their upcoming college football game. Outcomes depend on which team leads by a specific margin at the end of the first quarter, reflecting early-game momentum and scoring efficiency.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential at the end of the first quarter of the Utah vs Iowa State college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the specified team's victory margin exceeds the designated threshold for that market. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Only points scored during the first quarter count toward resolution, emphasizing early-game performance over the full match outcome.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those initially set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, they can take a position that pushes the price in this market away from the sportsbook’s initial offering. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, but discrepancies can still exist, offering potential value for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, similar to a stock exchange. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain spread, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final first-quarter spread of the Utah vs Iowa State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will receive nothing. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Utah or Iowa State teams would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also influence trading activity. Late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could also play a role. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could shift the price, reflecting new information or perspectives on the likely outcome.