TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 9:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for BYU or Utah Tech in the first half of their college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by either team during the first half to resolve as a win.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the first half of the Utah Tech vs BYU college football game scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. For BYU markets, a win by more than the specified points results in a 'Yes' outcome; otherwise, it resolves 'No'. For Utah Tech markets, a win by more than the specified points results in a 'Yes' outcome; otherwise, it resolves 'No'. Only points scored in the first half count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. Generally, if prediction market prices diverge significantly from sportsbook lines, it suggests a disagreement about the true probability of an outcome. It’s common to see differences, especially before a lot of information is available, as traders incorporate unique data and perspectives into their valuations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract indicates the probability that the actual spread will fall in that range. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the likely outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand from traders on Kalshi, and isn’t influenced by external factors or predetermined formulas.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final first-half spread of the Utah Tech vs BYU game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the official result as reported by a trusted sports data source, ensuring an objective and verifiable outcome. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Utah Tech or BYU teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also impact prices. Furthermore, any public statements from coaches or players that suggest a shift in strategy or confidence levels might sway traders. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price changes.