TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats
Volume:
$25,149,146
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the CBB game between Utah State Aggies and Arizona Wildcats on March 22 at 12:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution rules contain a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Kalshi states that the market resolves YES if either Utah State wins OR Arizona wins, which means the market resolves YES for every possible outcome. Polymarket correctly structures its markets with mutually exclusive outcomes (Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats for the moneyline, and directional spreads/totals for derivative markets).Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market—it is logically broken and will resolve YES regardless of the game outcome. All trading should occur on Polymarket, which has properly structured resolution logic. If you hold Kalshi positions, seek clarification or withdrawal before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market contains a critical logical error. The resolution rules state 'If Utah St. wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Arizona wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a tautology where the market resolves YES for every possible outcome, making it unresolvable. Quote: 'If Utah St. wins the Utah St. at Arizona men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arizona wins the Utah St. at Arizona men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with proper market structure: Polymarket correctly defines mutually exclusive outcomes for the moneyline ('If the Utah State Aggies win, the market will resolve to Utah State Aggies. If the Arizona Wildcats win, the market will resolve to Arizona Wildcats.') and provides well-defined derivative markets (spreads at -7.5 through -20.5, totals from 135.5 to 156.5). All resolution logic is logically consistent and resolvable. Quote: 'If the Utah State Aggies win, the market will resolve to Utah State Aggies. If the Arizona Wildcats win, the market will resolve to Arizona Wildcats.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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