TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 7:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a college football matchup, focusing specifically on how many rushing touchdowns each team scores during the game. It reflects how offensive strategies and player execution in converting ground-game opportunities into points can influence the contest's dynamics.
All markets resolve based on the official number of rushing touchdowns scored by each team in the Utah St. vs Washington college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026, including any overtime periods. A rushing touchdown is defined as a player scoring by running the ball into the end zone, with specific provisions: if a player recovers their own fumble and subsequently scores, it counts as a rushing touchdown, but if another player recovers a fumble and scores, it does not. Successful two-point conversions, whether in regulation or overtime, are excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. If the game fails to start within the 48-hour window, markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, this market allows a broader range of participants to weigh in with their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – surfaces. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders to find value, as the market dynamically adjusts to incorporate all available data. Keep in mind that prediction markets incentivize accurate forecasts, while sportsbooks prioritize profit.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, the number of rushing touchdowns scored. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the collective market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of the expected result. The market depth indicates how much volume is available at different price points, giving an indication of confidence in those predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of rushing touchdowns scored by both Utah St. and Washington in the game will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results, as these will be used to settle the market and distribute payouts to contract holders.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key running backs or offensive linemen on either team would be a major catalyst. Changes in the weather forecast – particularly if rain or snow is expected – could influence the teams’ offensive strategies and the likelihood of rushing touchdowns. Unexpected coaching decisions or adjustments to game plans could also shift expectations. Finally, any news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could affect performance and, consequently, the market’s pricing. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders seeking to capitalize on potential movements.