TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 7:05 PM EST
Kalshi
In the college football matchup between Utah State and Washington, either team could score by intercepting a pass and running it back for a touchdown, recovering a fumble in the opponent's territory and scoring, or executing a successful kick or punt return. These plays highlight the potential for defensive or special teams to influence the game's outcome dramatically.
If Utah St. and Washington collectively record at least 1 defensive or special teams touchdown in the Utah St. vs Washington college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own information and beliefs about the likelihood of a defensive or special teams touchdown in the Utah State vs Washington game. Often, prediction markets are seen as more accurate forecasters of event outcomes, but discrepancies can arise due to differing incentives and information access.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a defensive or special teams touchdown. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of that probability; a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information, game developments, and their own analysis, dynamically shifting the price until the game is played. This creates a real-time forecast of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, following the conclusion of the Utah State vs Washington game. The outcome will be determined by whether a defensive or special teams touchdown is officially recorded in the game statistics by credible sports reporting sources. Verification will be against credible public sources to confirm whether a non-offensive touchdown was scored during the contest. The final price on Kalshi at resolution will reflect the actual outcome of the game.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before the game concludes. Key injuries to either team’s special teams units or defensive players could significantly impact the perceived likelihood of a non-offensive touchdown. Weather conditions, particularly those affecting kicking or ball security, could also play a role. Even in-game developments, such as early turnovers or strong defensive performances, could cause traders to adjust their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market.