TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 6:58 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the point differential in the final quarter of a college football game between Utah State and Washington. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold, indicating whether one team will outscore the other by a margin exceeding that threshold in the fourth quarter alone.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Utah St. vs Washington college football game scheduled for Sep 12, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team exceeds the specified point differential threshold for that market during this period. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. No overtime points factor into any resolution calculations.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of individuals trading contracts. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Often, prediction markets are considered more accurate than traditional polls, as traders have ‘skin in the game’ and are incentivized to make informed predictions. However, sportsbook odds remain a valuable point of comparison for understanding public perception.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the fourth quarter of the game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. When more traders buy contracts predicting a certain spread, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Market participants are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, leading to dynamic price movements. This creates a real-time assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the fourth quarter of the Utah State vs Washington game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of 100, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will forfeit their investment. The platform will verify the final score to determine the winning contracts.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Utah State or Washington teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game, could also shift the market. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also play a role. Public betting patterns at sportsbooks, while not directly reflected here, can sometimes influence trader sentiment. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the likely game outcome has the potential to move this market.