TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 7:00 PM EST
Kalshi
In the college football matchup between Utah State and Washington, teams may attempt plays worth two points after scoring a touchdown. These attempts happen at specific moments and require strategic decisions by coaches.
If Utah St. and Washington collectively record at least 1 successful 2-point conversion in regulation of the Utah St. vs Washington college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the likelihood of a successful 2-point conversion. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news or events impact perceptions. Examining these differences can offer insights into where public opinion diverges from professional analysis regarding the Utah State vs Washington game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of the event occurring – in this case, one or more successful 2-point conversions during regulation. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in this market, offering a real-time probability estimate.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether one or more successful 2-point conversions occurred during regulation in the Utah State vs Washington game. The final result will be determined by official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those on the losing outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several signals could influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Utah State or Washington, particularly the team’s primary quarterback or play-callers, could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions, especially if they impact passing or kicking game strategies, might also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking analysis from sports analysts suggesting a shift in offensive or defensive approaches could influence trader behavior and alter the price of contracts in this market.