TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 5:08 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the point differential in the first half of an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific margin by which one team must lead or trail at halftime for the contract to settle as expected.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Utah St. versus Washington college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team's lead or deficit meets or exceeds the stated point margin by the end of the first half. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the actual halftime result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, reflecting the uncertainty introduced by the delay. The markets cover a range of differentials for both teams, from narrow margins like over 2.5 points to wider margins such as over 34.5 points, allowing participants to bet on varying degrees of dominance or upset potential in the first half.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are often set by experts. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception and marketing into their initial odds, while this market is driven purely by individuals wagering their own capital. It’s common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available and more traders participate, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely outcome of the first half.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Utah State vs Washington spread. The price of each contract reflects the probability that outcome will occur, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, the price of those contracts increases, and vice versa, dynamically adjusting the perceived probability of each outcome. This creates a real-time assessment of the game’s potential first-half spread.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread in the first half of the Utah State vs Washington game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source, ensuring an objective and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Utah State or Washington teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's style of play, could also affect trading activity. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift market sentiment, leading to fluctuations in the price of contracts for the Utah State vs Washington spread.