TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 7:14 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate how many points are scored in the final quarter of a college football matchup, with different thresholds determining various outcomes. The focus is solely on points accumulated in the fourth quarter, excluding any overtime periods. Each outcome represents a different point total benchmark that must be exceeded for the market to settle positively.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the fourth quarter of play, excluding any overtime periods, in the Utah St. vs Utah college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold; if the combined fourth-quarter points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. No points scored during overtime count toward any market resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows traders to express their own informed opinions, leading to odds that can diverge from traditional sportsbooks as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news or changes in team conditions than traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 4th quarter total. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific total occurring. As more traders buy contracts predicting a higher total, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price reflects the collective judgment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likely outcome. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 4th quarter of the Utah St. vs Utah game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored in the 4th quarter will be used to determine which contracts payout. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Utah St. or Utah would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also play a role. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can influence trading activity and, consequently, the price of contracts in this market.