TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 4:31 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the point differential in the first quarter of a college football game between Utah State and Utah. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of points by which either team must win the quarter to resolve as 'Yes'.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first quarter of play in the Utah St. vs Utah college football game scheduled for Sep 19, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the quarter by more than the stated point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential thresholds listed.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on news, analysis, and their own predictions, which causes the price to fluctuate. The more a particular spread is bought, the higher its price goes, indicating greater confidence in that outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first quarter spread of the Utah vs Utah State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final, official result as reported by the governing body of college football. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The final score will determine which contracts settle at 100 and which settle at 0.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Utah or Utah State teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's style of play, could also shift the odds. Public perception, influenced by expert analysis and media coverage, can also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi from informed participants could quickly alter the price as the game approaches.