TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 9:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional women's soccer match between two teams. Bettors can predict whether one team will secure a victory or if the game will end evenly. The result is determined solely by the standings after the regulation period, excluding any additional playoff stages.
The event involves a professional NWSL soccer match scheduled for September 27, 2026, between the Utah Royals and North Carolina Courage. There are three possible outcomes: a win for Utah Royals, a win for North Carolina Courage, or a tie. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with extra time and penalty kicks excluded from consideration. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as per the defined rules. The markets operate independently, each corresponding to one of the three potential results.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, leading to potentially more efficient price discovery. While sportsbooks may initially react to public betting patterns, the prediction market continuously adjusts as new information and opinions are incorporated by participants. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access and analytical approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of a particular outcome. As more traders participate, the price of these contracts fluctuates, reflecting the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more people believe the Utah Royals will win, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism where the market continuously updates its assessment of the likely result.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Utah Royals versus North Carolina Courage match as reported by official league sources. The market will determine which team won the match, or if the match ended in a draw, based on these official results. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will not.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Utah Royals or North Carolina Courage would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the coaches, or even weather conditions on game day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role. Public opinion shifts, as reflected in sports news and analysis, may also contribute to changes in the market's pricing.