A men's college basketball game between UT Martin Skyhawks and Little Rock Trojans scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets cover the moneyline winner, point spread (-2.5 favoring UT Martin), and multiple over/under totals (133.5, 134.5, 135.5, 136.5).
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both a Little Rock win and a Tennessee-Martin win are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable and creating ambiguity about the intended outcome mapping.
Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's moneyline market due to the critical logical error. Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and total markets are all consistently and correctly specified. Trade only on Polymarket for this event group.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market specifies both Little Rock win and Tennessee-Martin win resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility—the market cannot distinguish between outcomes. Quote: 'If Little Rock wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Tennessee-Martin wins...resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Moneyline market correctly maps outcomes: UT Martin Skyhawks win resolves to 'UT Martin Skyhawks', Little Rock Trojans win resolves to 'Little Rock Trojans'. Spread and totals markets are also logically sound with clear thresholds and postponement/cancellation rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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