TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 6:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the third quarter in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to different point spreads that either team must achieve to satisfy the condition.
These markets resolve based on the point differential between USC and Rutgers specifically during the third quarter of their college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the specified team must win that quarter by more than the stated point spread. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this window, the markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Only points scored in the third quarter count toward these outcomes, emphasizing the importance of in-quarter performance over the full game result.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the perceived probability of different outcomes for the USC vs Rutgers 3rd quarter spread.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises the price, while increased selling pressure lowers it, ultimately determining the prevailing odds for the USC vs Rutgers 3rd quarter spread.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the 3rd quarter of the USC vs Rutgers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, and the contract corresponding to the correct point spread will pay out $1.00. All other contracts will expire worthless. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the USC or Rutgers teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact the game's playing conditions, could also shift the odds. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could affect trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create price fluctuations as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings.