TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between USC Trojans and Washington Huskies scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. Markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both USC victory and Washington victory resolve to Yes, rendering the market unresolvable and creating no meaningful price discovery mechanism.Hero Tip:
Trade only on Polymarket. Kalshi's market is broken and should not be used for settlement or trading until the platform corrects the resolution logic to distinguish between the two outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary winner-take-all structure. USC win resolves to USC Trojans; Washington win resolves to Washington Huskies. Overtime included in final score. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50.Kalshi:
Both outcomes resolve to Yes. If Washington wins, Yes. If USC wins, Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot differentiate between winning and losing outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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