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$134.1b

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406,065

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30,522

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2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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USC Trojans vs. Washington Huskies
kalshi
polymarket

USC Trojans vs. Washington Huskies

Volume:
$6,157,348

Washington

 - Kalshi

Washington - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 12, 2026

Closed: Mar 11, 5:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Washington

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,011,913
N/A
N/A
$1,331,882
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 152.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,626
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$501
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,950,386
N/A
N/A
$1,337,524
Settled
No
polymarket

USC Trojans vs. Washington Huskies

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$187,447
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,767
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,707
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

A men's college basketball game between USC Trojans and Washington Huskies scheduled for March 11, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET at Washington. Multiple prediction markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes at various thresholds (-3.5, -4.5, -5.5), and the over/under total points (152.5).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market has a logical contradiction: both USC win and Washington win are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound and mutually exclusive.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. It contains a data integrity failure that prevents settlement. Trade only Polymarket markets, which have clear binary outcomes and consistent edge-case rules (postponement = market remains open; cancellation with no makeup = 50-50 split).

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market specifies both USC win and Washington win resolve to Yes. This is a logical contradiction—a single game outcome cannot trigger two conflicting resolutions. The market is unresolvable as written.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'USC Trojans' if USC wins, or 'Washington Huskies' if Washington wins—mutually exclusive outcomes. Spread markets (-3.5, -4.5, -5.5) resolve based on margin thresholds. O/U 152.5 resolves based on combined points. All edge cases (postponement, cancellation) are clearly defined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.