TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
USC Trojans vs. Washington Huskies
Volume:
$6,157,348
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between USC Trojans and Washington Huskies scheduled for March 11, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET at Washington. Multiple prediction markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes at various thresholds (-3.5, -4.5, -5.5), and the over/under total points (152.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market has a logical contradiction: both USC win and Washington win are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound and mutually exclusive.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. It contains a data integrity failure that prevents settlement. Trade only Polymarket markets, which have clear binary outcomes and consistent edge-case rules (postponement = market remains open; cancellation with no makeup = 50-50 split).Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market specifies both USC win and Washington win resolve to Yes. This is a logical contradiction—a single game outcome cannot trigger two conflicting resolutions. The market is unresolvable as written.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'USC Trojans' if USC wins, or 'Washington Huskies' if Washington wins—mutually exclusive outcomes. Spread markets (-3.5, -4.5, -5.5) resolve based on margin thresholds. O/U 152.5 resolves based on combined points. All edge cases (postponement, cancellation) are clearly defined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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