TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$85,014,378

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,391,695,592

394,774

Markets across

30,069

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,615

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
USA vs Peru: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of USA vs Peru?

Volume:
$112,420

USA wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

USA wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 26, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 6:44 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

USA wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$71,137
N/A
N/A
$38,564
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USA wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$31,558
N/A
N/A
$17,937
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Peru wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,041
N/A
N/A
$4,400
Settled
No
kalshi

USA wins by more than 3.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,034
N/A
N/A
$2,138
Settled
No
kalshi

Peru wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,651
N/A
N/A
$1,644
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

These markets determine whether the USA or Peru wins the match by a margin exceeding specific goal differences within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Outcomes depend on whether the USA wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or if Peru wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals.

Kalshi

These spread markets resolve based on the margin of victory in the USA vs Peru professional international friendly soccer game scheduled for September 26, 2026, after the full 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, but explicitly excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The first two markets resolve to Yes if the USA wins by more than 2.5 goals or more than 1.5 goals, respectively. The latter two markets resolve to Yes if Peru wins by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals, respectively. If the outcome does not meet the specified margin for a given market, that market resolves to No. As with the total goals markets, all secondary rules clarify that the platform is not officially affiliated with the governing league or any associated entities, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the USA vs Peru match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the volume is $100,804 and the total volume for this market is $112,420. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes changes over time with the price chart. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders believe the spread will land, reflecting their collective predictions. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and potentially identify opportunities.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially closer to the event. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of many individuals, incentivized to make accurate predictions. Sportsbooks, while employing skilled oddsmakers, are still susceptible to biases and may adjust lines based on betting action to manage risk. However, initial odds on Kalshi may differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting differing initial assessments of the USA vs Peru match. It’s useful to compare both to form your own informed opinion.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment regarding the USA vs Peru match. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants, offering insight into the perceived likelihood of each potential result.

This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread for the USA vs Peru match, as determined by official sources, will be used to determine the winning contracts. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract's price at resolution. It’s important to monitor official results to understand how this market settles, as the final outcome is based on publicly available data.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 27, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the USA or Peru team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the coaches, or even weather forecasts for the match location could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements regarding player availability or changes in the perceived competitive balance of the USA vs Peru match will likely be reflected in the market prices on Kalshi.