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400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

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2,633

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5

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USA vs Italy: Spread
kalshi

USA vs Italy: Spread

Volume:
$72,892

USA wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

USA wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 6, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 4:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

USA wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,244
N/A
N/A
$7,068
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USA wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,209
N/A
N/A
$10,843
Settled
No
kalshi

USA wins by over 14.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,636
N/A
N/A
$12,302
Settled
No
kalshi

USA wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,132
N/A
N/A
$7,945
Settled
No
kalshi

Italy wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,856
N/A
N/A
$1,727
Settled
No
kalshi

Italy wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,030
N/A
N/A
$933
Settled
No
kalshi

Italy wins by over 14.5 points

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$423
N/A
N/A
$391
Settled
No
kalshi

Italy wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$362
N/A
N/A
$331
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

The market determines if one team wins the basketball game by a margin greater than a specified point difference. The result hinges on the relative scoring performance of the two teams at the end of the match.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on whether Italy or the USA wins the specified basketball game by more than a set point margin (14.5, 10.5, 6.5, or 2.5 points for Italy; 2.5, 6.5, 10.5, or 14.5 points for the USA). If the winning team’s point differential exceeds the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. As with the total points markets, any postponement within 48 hours retains the market’s status, resolving according to the official result—including overtime. If the game is canceled or does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies no official ties to the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.