TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 11:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the volleyball match between USA and China in the FIVB Nations League, originally scheduled for July 23 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "USA" if USA wins the match. It will resolve to "China" if China wins the match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, is defaulted, or is disqualified after the match begins, this market will resolve in favor of the team officially credited with the win. If the match begins but is not completed and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin for any reason — including cancellation, pre-match withdrawal, walkover, or forfeit before play begins — or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official FIVB results.
This market refers to the volleyball match between USA and China in the FIVB Nations League, originally scheduled for July 23 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "USA" if USA wins the match. It will resolve to "China" if China wins the match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, is defaulted, or is disqualified after the match begins, this market will resolve in favor of the team officially credited with the win. If the match begins but is not completed and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin for any reason — including cancellation, pre-match withdrawal, walkover, or forfeit before play begins — or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official FIVB results.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. Sportsbooks typically adjust for sharp action and public sentiment, whereas this market's odds emerge from real-money trading by a diverse group of forecasters. Both can offer valuable signals, but prediction markets sometimes capture longer-tail information or contrarian views that traditional oddsmakers miss, especially in niche or emerging matchups.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into continuous odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome has a price between 0 and 1 (or 0–100 cents), reflecting the probability traders assign to it. As more capital flows toward one side, the price moves to reflect the new consensus. This mechanism ensures liquidity and allows traders to enter or exit positions at transparent, real-time rates without waiting for a counterparty.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on the final result of the competition, verified against authoritative sports sources and official announcements. Traders holding positions on the winning outcome receive their payout once the event concludes and the result is locked in. Until that point, prices may fluctuate as new information emerges or as the event date approaches.
Several factors could shift this market's odds before Jul 30, 2026. Team roster changes, injuries to key athletes, recent performance trends, and pre-competition analysis from credible sports commentators often trigger repricing. Betting action from sharp traders or public sentiment swings can also move prices significantly. Geopolitical developments or scheduling changes might influence expectations. As the event date nears, odds typically tighten and become more reflective of final consensus. Monitoring sports news, official team statements, and historical matchup data will help you anticipate potential moves.