TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 9:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the volleyball match between USA and China in the FIVB Nations League, originally scheduled for July 15 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "USA" if USA wins the match. It will resolve to "China" if China wins the match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, is defaulted, or is disqualified after the match begins, this market will resolve in favor of the team officially credited with the win. If the match begins but is not completed and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin for any reason — including cancellation, pre-match withdrawal, walkover, or forfeit before play begins — or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official FIVB results.
This market refers to the volleyball match between USA and China in the FIVB Nations League, originally scheduled for July 15 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "USA" if USA wins the match. It will resolve to "China" if China wins the match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, is defaulted, or is disqualified after the match begins, this market will resolve in favor of the team officially credited with the win. If the match begins but is not completed and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin for any reason — including cancellation, pre-match withdrawal, walkover, or forfeit before play begins — or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official FIVB results.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and protect profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, depending on which venue's participants have stronger conviction or better information. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money sees value, though both should be viewed as estimates rather than certainties.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader activity into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares representing each outcome trade continuously, and the price you see reflects the cumulative bets of all participants. When traders buy shares in one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcome's price falls, creating a dynamic equilibrium. This mechanism ensures transparent, friction-free pricing without a traditional bookmaker setting odds unilaterally.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, at which point the outcome will be confirmed once the event result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning shares will be determined by which outcome actually occurs in the competition. Traders holding shares in the correct result will receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Until that date, prices will fluctuate based on new information, expert analysis, and shifting trader sentiment.
Key catalysts include team roster announcements, injury reports, recent performance metrics, and expert commentary closer to the event date. Shifts in public opinion or polling data may also influence trader positioning. Major geopolitical developments or rule changes could reshape expectations about how the competition will unfold. Media coverage and social media momentum can drive sudden price swings as new information reaches traders. Monitor official announcements and credible sports analysis to stay ahead of market moves.