TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 1, 10:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on the total goals scored by both teams during only the second half of the USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina FIFA World Cup match on July 1, 2026. Bettors wager on whether the combined second-half goal total exceeds specific thresholds.
Resolution is based on the combined goals scored by USA and Bosnia and Herzegovina during the second half only of their FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled for July 1, 2026. Each outcome threshold represents a cumulative second-half goal total: outcomes resolve to Yes if the combined second-half goals exceed their respective thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, or 3.5 goals). Only goals scored during the second half count toward resolution. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money risk. Sportsbooks may adjust lines more frequently based on sharp action, whereas this market's odds shift as new information emerges and traders reassess probabilities. Both venues can offer value, but prediction markets sometimes capture longer-term sentiment more accurately when traders have strong conviction about second-half scoring patterns.
This market resolves around Jul 2, 2026, once the USA vs Bosnia match concludes and the second-half goal total is finalized. The outcome is confirmed against credible public sources reporting the official match result. Resolution hinges on the verified goal count scored during the second half only, excluding any goals from the first half. Once the event is complete and the final tally is available from established sports data providers, the market settles to reflect the actual second-half total.
Several factors can shift odds before resolution. Early match momentum—such as a goal in the first half or a red card—often influences trader expectations for second-half scoring patterns. Team injuries, tactical adjustments at halftime, and weather conditions can all reshape how traders assess the likelihood of different goal totals. News about player availability or unexpected lineup changes may trigger repricing. Additionally, live betting action during the first half typically generates new information that traders incorporate, causing the market to adjust its probability estimate as the match unfolds.