TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 1, 10:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the USA will score more than 1.5 goals during regulation time in their FIFA World Cup match against Bosnia and Herzegovina. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—USA scoring over 1.5 goals—stands at 99.0%, while the probability of the USA exceeding 2.5 goals is 1.0%. Resolution is determined by official FIFA records of goals scored in the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Watch the match on July 1, 2026, as the final whistle will determine settlement.
All markets resolve based on goals scored during regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time) of the USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for July 1, 2026. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from consideration. Each market establishes a specific goal threshold for either the USA or Bosnia and Herzegovina; the market resolves to Yes if that team records more goals than the stated threshold. Own goals are credited to the team awarded the goal by official match records. The thresholds available are 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, and 3.5 goals for each team, allowing bettors to predict various levels of offensive output.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margins, while prediction markets like this one aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. Traders in this market may price outcomes differently than traditional sportsbooks based on their own analysis, news flow, and risk appetite. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities, though both reflect genuine market expectations for the event outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and asks that determine the real-time contract price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders profit or lose based on whether their prediction of the regulation time team total outcome proves correct at settlement. The price you see reflects the marginal trade—the last executed transaction—and moves dynamically as new information emerges and trading interest shifts. Liquidity and volume on the order book influence how easily you can enter or exit a position at competitive rates.
This market resolves around Jul 2, 2026, once the USA vs Bosnia match concludes and the regulation time team total is finalized. The outcome is confirmed against credible public sources reporting the final score. Your position settles based on whether the combined team scoring during regulation time matches the prediction you backed. Early settlement is not typical unless the event is cancelled or postponed; otherwise, resolution occurs after the match ends and official statistics are published.
Key catalysts for this market include team roster changes, injury announcements, recent form and head-to-head history, and pre-match analysis from credible sports analysts. Weather conditions on match day, venue factors, and tactical adjustments can also shift trader expectations closer to kickoff. Major news—such as a key player being ruled out or a coaching change—typically triggers sharp price movement as traders reassess the likely regulation time scoring total. Monitor official team communications and reputable sports media for developments that could influence how traders position themselves.