TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 6, 9:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the exact final score of the USA versus Belgium FIFA World Cup soccer match at the end of regulation time on July 6, 2026. On Kalshi, Belgium wins 3-1 stands at 38.0%, while Belgium wins 4-1 is at 24.0%. The market resolves based on the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Watch for team lineups and injury reports released in the days leading up to the July 6, 2026 kickoff, as roster availability will significantly influence scoring potential.
This event covers all possible regulation-time correct score outcomes for the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup match scheduled for July 6, 2026. Resolution is based exclusively on the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty shootouts. The event encompasses a comprehensive range of potential final scores, including draws (0-0, 1-1, 2-2, 3-3, 4-4), USA victories (1-0 through 5-2), and Belgium victories (1-0 through 5-2). Each specific scoreline represents a distinct resolution outcome, allowing bettors to predict the precise final score in regulation. The market resolves to Yes for whichever scoreline matches the actual result at the conclusion of regulation play.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader consensus rather than fixed bookmaker pricing. Sportsbooks adjust odds to manage liability and profit margins, while this market prices outcomes based on continuous buying and selling by participants. During major events, prediction markets can move faster than sportsbooks as new information emerges. Both venues ultimately reflect belief about the same event, but the mechanisms—and sometimes the timing—differ meaningfully.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each possible correct score. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform displays the current bid-ask spread for every outcome, and prices update continuously as new orders flow in. Each scoreline outcome trades independently, so you can isolate your view on specific results—for instance, betting on a 1-0 Belgium victory without taking a position on other scores. This granular pricing structure lets sophisticated traders exploit misalignments between related outcomes.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the match concludes and the final score is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the official result at the end of regulation time, verified against credible public sources. No extra time or penalty shootout results factor into this market—only the score after 90 minutes of play. Once the event is verifiable and the platform processes the resolution, all positions settle according to the actual final scoreline.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—typically triggers sharp price movement in this market. Early match momentum, goals scored, and red cards all shift trader expectations about the final scoreline in real time. Weather conditions and venue factors can also influence scoring patterns. As the match progresses, actual goals scored narrow the range of possible outcomes, causing some scorelines to collapse in value while others gain. Late-game developments, such as a team chasing an equalizer, often produce the most volatile repricing.