TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 6, 8:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks what the scoreline will be after the first 45 minutes of the USA versus Belgium FIFA World Cup match scheduled for July 6, 2026. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—Belgium winning 1-0 at halftime—stands at 56.0%, while Belgium winning 2-0 at halftime is at 20.0%. Resolution is determined by the official halftime score reported at the end of the first half on July 6, 2026, with the betting period closing when the match begins.
This event captures all possible first-half correct score outcomes for the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup match on July 6, 2026. Resolution depends solely on the scoreline recorded at the end of the first half (45 minutes), independent of any goals scored in the second half or subsequent extra time. The market includes draws (0-0, 1-1, 2-2), Belgium first-half leads (1-0 through 3-1), and USA first-half leads (1-0 through 3-2). Each specific halftime scoreline represents a distinct resolution outcome, enabling bettors to predict the exact score at the midpoint of the match. The market resolves to Yes for whichever scoreline corresponds to the actual halftime result.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets like this one aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. Traders here are directly exposed to accuracy—they profit or lose based on outcomes, creating strong incentives to price outcomes efficiently. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where consensus differs. Prediction markets sometimes lead sportsbooks in pricing efficiency, especially when informed traders spot value. Monitoring both venues helps you understand whether the crowd here sees the halftime scoreline differently than traditional oddsmakers.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the first half of the USA versus Belgium match concludes. The outcome is determined by the actual halftime scoreline, verified against credible public sources such as official match records or major sports reporting outlets. Whichever scoreline prediction you backed will settle based on what the scoreboard shows when the referee ends the first half. No partial credit is awarded—only the exact correct score pays out. After the first half officially ends and the result is confirmed, the market will lock and payouts will be distributed to holders of the winning outcome.
Several factors can shift odds before kickoff and during the first half. Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical surprises—often triggers sharp price moves as traders reassess scoring likelihood. Early match momentum matters too; if one team dominates possession or creates clear chances in the opening minutes, traders will reprrice scorelines favoring that team. Weather conditions, referee decisions, and unexpected red cards can all reshape expectations. Betting syndicates and sharp money entering the market can also drive rapid repricing. Additionally, any official updates about player availability or match conditions released closer to kickoff may prompt traders to adjust their positions, so staying alert to team news and live action is key to spotting value shifts.