TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 13, 12:13 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if USA wins by 2 or more goals against Paraguay during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 13, 2026, 01:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 13, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
This market will resolve to "YES" if USA wins by 2 or more goals against Paraguay during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 13, 2026, 01:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 13, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Prediction market odds on Limitless often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader conviction rather than fixed bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds to balance liability; prediction markets respond directly to supply and demand. For this USA vs Paraguay matchup, compare the implied probability on Limitless to major sportsbooks to identify value. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper pricing on specific margins like a 2-goal victory, especially as match day approaches and new information emerges.
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, this outcome is priced according to the order book and trader activity specific to that venue. The price reflects the percentage probability that traders assign to a USA victory by exactly 2 or more goals. As match conditions, team news, and betting patterns shift, the price adjusts in real time. Monitor Limitless order flow and recent trades to gauge whether the market is growing more or less confident in this specific margin outcome relative to other possible results.
This market resolves on Jun 14, 2026 following the conclusion of the USA vs Paraguay match. Resolution is determined by the final score: the market settles to yes if the USA wins by a margin of 2 or more goals, and to no otherwise. Any result where Paraguay wins, the match ends in a draw, or the USA wins by exactly 1 goal will resolve the market to no. Traders should confirm the exact resolution criteria on Limitless before the match begins.
Key catalysts include team roster announcements, injury reports for star players on either side, and recent form in qualifying or friendlies. Pre-match media coverage and expert predictions can shift trader sentiment. During the match itself, early goals, red cards, or tactical adjustments will drive sharp price movements. Historical head-to-head records and goal-scoring trends in USA vs Paraguay fixtures also inform market pricing. Monitor social media, official team statements, and live match commentary for real-time signals that could widen or narrow the expected margin.