TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
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OPEN INTEREST:
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404,028
Markets across
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events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 1, 11:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if USA wins by 2 or more goals against Bosnia & Herzegovina during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for July 2, 2026, 00:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than September 2, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
This market will resolve to "YES" if USA wins by 2 or more goals against Bosnia & Herzegovina during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for July 2, 2026, 00:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than September 2, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus on the actual probability of the outcome. Traders betting real money on this market may incorporate different information or risk assessments than sportsbooks, leading to price differences. Comparing the two can reveal where one venue sees greater or lesser conviction around a USA victory by two or more goals.
On Limitless, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers that determine the real-time odds. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent trades and pending orders from the market's active participants. As new information emerges or match conditions change, traders adjust their positions, which moves the price up or down. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market continuously incorporates fresh sentiment about the likelihood of a two-goal-or-greater US margin.
This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, once the match between the USA and Bosnia & Herzegovina concludes and the final goal margin is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score: if the USA wins by two goals or more, the affirmative outcome wins; any other result—including a one-goal US victory, a draw, or a Bosnia win—resolves to the negative. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match ending, once the score is confirmed.
Several factors can shift this market's price before Jul 3, 2026. Team news—injuries to key USA or Bosnia players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes—often triggers sharp moves. Recent form, head-to-head history, and betting action from professional syndicates can also influence trader positioning. As match day approaches, weather conditions, venue factors, and late-breaking roster updates may prompt repricing. During the match itself, early goals, red cards, or momentum swings will drive rapid price adjustments as traders update their probability estimates in real time.