TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 4:43 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if United States records a strictly greater number of big chances than Turkiye in the Turkiye vs United States FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 26, 2026, 02:00 UTC, as shown on the Fotmob match page for this specific game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." Big chances will be determined using the values shown for United States and Turkiye on the Fotmob match page under Top stats → Big chances for this specific game. These values will be taken from the match page once the match is completed. If the match is not played and completed with an official result by August 26, 2026, 12:00 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO." If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the match is completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to "YES" if United States records a strictly greater number of big chances than Turkiye in the Turkiye vs United States FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 26, 2026, 02:00 UTC, as shown on the Fotmob match page for this specific game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." Big chances will be determined using the values shown for United States and Turkiye on the Fotmob match page under Top stats → Big chances for this specific game. These values will be taken from the match page once the match is completed. If the match is not played and completed with an official result by August 26, 2026, 12:00 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO." If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the match is completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. For this matchup, prediction market pricing may emphasize underlying team form and tactical setup, whereas sportsbooks factor in betting volume and liability. Comparing the two reveals whether professional oddsmakers and crowd forecasters align on big chances distribution or identify meaningful gaps in expectations.
On Limitless, traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, with the share price reflecting the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price adjusts continuously as new trades execute, allowing participants to enter or exit positions at any time before resolution. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information, and wider bid-ask spreads may appear during low-activity periods, affecting execution costs for larger orders.
This market resolves around Jun 27, 2026, once the USA versus Turkiye match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome hinges on an official count of big chances—high-quality scoring opportunities—recorded by each team during the contest. Resolution depends on confirmed match data and statistical records from authoritative sports reporting, ensuring the market settles fairly based on what actually transpired on the pitch.
Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly alter expectations around offensive output and chance creation. Recent form, head-to-head history, and pre-match analysis from credible analysts may shift trader positioning as the match date approaches. During the game itself, early goals, red cards, or visible dominance by one side will trigger rapid repricing as traders update their forecasts. Weather conditions and venue factors can also influence how open or defensive each team plays, directly affecting big chances volume.