TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 6, 10:39 PM EST
Kalshi
A national team will compete in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, with one of their players or the team collectively emerging as the leading goal scorer during the tournament.
The USA Goal Leader market determines which player scores the most goals for the country during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. Goals scored during regulation time, stoppage time, and extra time are included in the count, while goals during penalty shootouts do not count. If no goals are scored by any player, the No Goalscorer outcome resolves to Yes. When two or more players tie for the most goals scored, Yes holders receive 1/N of the payout (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N is the number of tied players, and No holders receive the remainder.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect aggregated trader beliefs and often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts or polling data. Markets incorporate real-time information and financial incentives, whereas analysts may rely on historical models or qualitative judgment. For USA: Goal Leader, comparing Kalshi implied probabilities against published expert predictions can reveal where the crowd sees value or risk that conventional forecasters may have missed. This comparison helps you identify consensus gaps and evaluate whether market pricing appears well-calibrated.
The USA: Goal Leader market resolves on Jul 20, 2026. At that time, the outcome will be determined by the official result or designated source for this event. Until resolution, traders can buy and sell positions based on their forecasts. The market remains active and liquid as long as uncertainty persists, allowing you to adjust your exposure or lock in gains or losses before the final determination is made.
USA: Goal Leader pricing can shift in response to performance updates, official announcements, statistical milestones, or changing competitive circumstances. Breaking news, injury reports, roster changes, or strategic shifts may alter trader expectations and trigger rapid repricing on Kalshi. Monitor relevant sports news, social media, and expert commentary for catalysts that could reshape market odds. Early movers who spot these signals before broad consensus forms often capture the most value in prediction markets.