TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 13, 12:13 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by USA and Paraguay (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 13, 2026, 01:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 13, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by USA and Paraguay (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 13, 2026, 01:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 13, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Prediction market odds on Limitless reflect real-money trader conviction and often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they aggregate continuous market activity rather than fixed opening odds. Sportsbooks typically adjust lines based on sharp action and liability management, while prediction markets update dynamically as new information emerges. For this USA–Paraguay card total, comparing Limitless odds to major sportsbook offerings can reveal whether the market is pricing in higher or lower disciplinary expectations than conventional bookmakers.
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, this event is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability that USA and Paraguay will receive 4 or more combined cards. The price moves based on order-flow imbalance and trader positioning; higher prices indicate stronger belief in the outcome occurring. Limitless uses an automated market maker or order-book model to continuously quote both sides, allowing traders to enter and exit positions throughout the event window until resolution on Jun 14, 2026.
The market resolves on Jun 14, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official final card count—yellow and red cards—issued to both teams combined during the USA versus Paraguay match. The outcome is binary: if the total reaches 4 or more cards, the affirmative position wins; if fewer than 4 cards are issued, the negative position wins. Resolution relies on official match records from the governing sports authority.
Key catalysts include team news such as player injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes that affect squad composition and playing style. Referee assignments can influence card distribution, as different officials have varying disciplinary thresholds. Pre-match analysis, recent form, head-to-head history, and tactical previews from analysts may shift trader expectations. Weather conditions, venue atmosphere, and competitive stakes (tournament stage, playoff implications) also drive card volume. As match day nears, injury updates and official team sheets typically trigger the largest probability swings.